Harold Camping’s claim

Harold Camping proclaimed the world would end on May 21st, 2011, based on his own numeralogical interpretation of the Bible.  When May 22nd came, he was perplexed.  He spent some time thinking, then went back on the air with his Family Radio Network and said:

“The great earthquake and rapture and the universe melting in fervent heat will be happening on the last day – October 21 2011… It’s all going to happen on the last day…The great earthquake didn’t happen on May 21 because no-one will be able to survive it for more than a few days or let alone five months to suffer God’s wrath because everything will be levelled and destroyed after that earthquake and there will be no food or water to keep everyone alive.”

He then made the following claim on his website: “Thus we can be sure that the whole world, with the exception of those who are presently saved (the elect), are under the judgment of God, and will be annihilated together with the whole physical world on October 21, 2011” http://www.familyradio.com/x/whathappened.html

Let’s examine this last claim using the SEARCH formula:

  • State the claim.
  • Examine the Evidence for the claim.
  • Consider Alternative hypotheses.
  • Rate, according to the Criteria of adequacy, each Hypothesis